I usually do OK.
(Don’t forget to join us Thursday and Friday as we live blog the first two rounds of the draft for FoxSports.com.)
1. Indianapolis Colts: Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford
2. Washington Redskins (from St. Louis Rams): Robert Griffin III, QB, Baylor
2-for-2. This picking thing is easy.
3. Jacksonville (projected trade with Minnesota): Justin Blackmon, WR, Oklahoma State
Predicting trades in a mock draft is the Kiss of Death. They usually don’t happen and you screw up your mock way too early. But I just can’t help myself. Jacksonville needs offensive playmakers and there is none better in this draft than Blackmon. They’ve done their due diligence and need to get in front of receiver-starved St. Louis to get Blackmon. Hey, it could happen.
4. Cleveland Browns: Trent Richardson, RB, Alabama
The best running back in the draft by a mile. Not even the Browns can f*ck this up. Maybe I’m speaking too soon.
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Morris Claiborne, CB, LSU
So what if Mo thinks a Buccaneer is a roadside salesman slanging corn for a $1 each. Claiborne goes with the pick to match his Wonderlic score: 5.
6. St. Louis Rams: Matt Kalil, OT, USC
Losing out on Blackmon is a kick to the junk. Sam Bradford needs weapons, especially when you consider Danny Amendola is the team’s best receiving threat. Yup, Danny Amendola. Michael Floyd could be an option here, but it’s a tad early. There should be good receiver options available in the second round, so the Rams go with the draft’s best offensive lineman.
Not a bad consolation.
7. Minnesota Vikings (projected trade with Jacksonville): Stephon Gilmore, CB, South Carolina
Aaron Rodgers, Matthew Stafford and Jay Cutler six times a year. Secondary help apply within. Minnesota could have taken Claiborne at No. 3, but the temptation of Jacksonville’s second rounder (plus additional picks we’re sure) was enough to settle for Gilmore, the draft’s second best corner.
8. Miami Dolphins: Quinton Coples, DE, North Carolina
I know, I know. Everyone says Ryan Tannehill here. But that would be an idiotic move, which means it’s right up Jeff Ireland’s alley. However, the ‘Fins need pass rushers. Tannehill has flop written all over him.
9. Carolina Panthers: Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame
Steve Smith will most likely retire a Panther after a deserved contract extension, but the diminutive wideout could use some help on the other side. Pairing Floyd with Smith and Greg Olsen at tight end gives Cam Newton all the weapons he needs. Could be scary good offense.
10. Buffalo Bills: Luke Kuechly, ILB, Boston College
Trying to replace Paul Posluszny, who left a year ago for Jacksonville. The ultra-productive Kuechly is a good place to start.
11. Kansas City Chiefs: Fletcher Cox, DT, Mississippi State
The Chiefs would have looked hard at Kuechly, but are forced to go D-Line and the versatile Cox. High defensive line picks for Kansas City haven’t really panned out recently (Glenn Dorsey and Tyson Jackson), but on the bright side, at lease Cox isn’t from LSU.
12. Seattle Seahawks: Melvin Ingram, DE/OLB, South Carolina.
There are needs at WR and DT, but Ingram is a premiere pass rusher. A pure hybrid, he has the potential to be scary good.
13. Arizona Cardinals: David DeCastro, G, Stanford
A mauler and safe pick. Ken Whisenhunt’s blocker from within wins the day. Though a pass rusher could go here as well.
14. Dallas Cowboys: Mark Barron, S, Alabama
Don’t the Cowboys always need secondary help?
15. Philadelphia Eagles: Michael Brockers, DT, LSU
Brockers can play either DT or DE and gives the Eagles the type of versatile defensive lineman they like. His stock has been rising and would be a good fit with Philly.
16. New York Jets: Chandler Jones, DE/OLB, Syracuse
Rex pulls the trigger on Jones for the sole reason of having Chandler’s brother, UFC light heavyweight champion Jon “Bones” Jones, in the Jets entourage.
17. Cincinnati Bengals: Dre Kirkpatrick, CB, Alabama
The Bengals could go Kendall Wright here and then go corner at No. 21, but both Tennessee and Chicago might look corner, and Kirkpatrick is the only one you’ll want for a while.
18. San Diego Chargers: Riley Reiff, OT, Iowa
Phillips says the Chargers current right tackle, Jeromey Clary, is awful, almost as awful as his parents’ spelling of his first name.
19. Chicago Bears: Whitney Mercilus, DE, Illinois
The Bears could go a number of places with this pick – offensive tackle, wide receiver, or the most glaring need, a pass rusher opposite Julius Peppers. I think the Bears prefer Chandler Jones, but since he’s gone, they take the Illinois product, who Rod Marinelli personally worked out.
20. Tennessee Titans: Courtney Upshaw, DE/OLB, Alabama
Teams seem to be scared off by sub-par measurables. Watch the tape. The kid makes plays and the Titans could use defensive playmakers.
21. Cincinnati Bengals (from Oakland Raiders): Kendall Wright, WR, Baylor
Pairing Wright with last year’s rookie stud A.J. Green certainly would make Andy Dalton happy.
22. Cleveland Browns: Ryan Tannehill, QB, Texas A&M
Finally Tannehill comes off the board. And in a much more palatable slot. Browns fans would be thrilled with a first round haul that landed their starting backfield for years to come. That is, of course, if Tannehill isn’t a complete flop. Wouldn’t hold your breath Browns fans, that is unless you’re walking near Lake Erie. Then hold your breath for dear life.
23. Detroit Lions: Cordy Glenn, G/OT, Georgia
Can play either guard or tackle and the Lions need to keep Matthew Stafford upright if they want to continue the good times in MoTown.
24. Pittsburgh Steelers: Jerel Worthy, DT, Michigan State
Could be exactly what Pittsburgh needs in the middle of its defensive line – a space eater.
25. Denver Broncos: Dontari Poe, DT, Memphis
Workout warrior with limited production, Poe becomes first defensive tackle taken in the first round by the Broncos since Trevor Pryce. Not bad company.
26. Houston Texans: Jonathan Martin, OT, Stanford
After letting Eric Winston walk, the Texans need help on the O-Line. Martin is tremendous value at No. 26.
27. New England Patriots (from New Orleans Saints): Shea McClellin, OLB, Boise State
Few prospects have shot up the board the past few weeks more than McClellin. Has pass rushing skills, but can also play in space.
28. Green Bay Packers: Andre Branch, DE/OLB, Clemson
Screw the Packers.
29. Baltimore Ravens: Peter Konz, C, Wisconsin
Matt Birk is on his last legs, so why not go ahead and get his replacement ready. Konz is the top rated center in the draft, and while first round picks are rarely spent on centers, Konz is a smart selection here.
30. San Francisco 49ers: Kevin Zeitler, G, Wisconsin
Sure I’ve got back-to-back interior linemen from Wisconsin. When all else fails, draft Wisconsin O-linemen.
31. New England Patriots: Mike Adams, OT, Ohio State
Too talented not to be drafted in the first round, Adams can be a franchise tackle. It’s a long wait for Adams, but it would feel even longer if he was still high.
32. New York Giants: Doug Martin, RB, Boise State
There are three running backs the Giants are likely choosing from here (David Miller and Jamar Miller being the other two). Brandon Jacobs is gone (and apparently had a police escort on his way out of town), meaning the G-Men need someone to supplement Ahmad Bradshaw.